MLB · Sat, May 16, 2026
Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Miami Marlins 10 – 5 Tampa Bay Rays. 3 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.88 | +4.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.19 | +18.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.10 | +5.6% | 4 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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