MLB · Sat, May 16, 2026
Texas Rangers at Houston Astros
Final score: Texas Rangers 1 – 4 Houston Astros. 6 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.19 | +19.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | Texas Rangers | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.69 | +18.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Braden Shewmake | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.77 | +6.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Zach Cole | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.97 | +1.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Josh Jung | Texas Rangers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.50 | +1.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Vazquez | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.88 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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