MLB · Sun, May 17, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Boston Red Sox 1 – 8 Atlanta Braves. 3 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.64 | +5.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.69 | +12.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +3.3% | 0 | WIN |
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