MLB · Sun, May 17, 2026
Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Miami Marlins 3 – 6 Tampa Bay Rays. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 2.01 | +7.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.36 | +95.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.90 | +51.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +28.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.37 | +8.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Eury Perez | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.10 | +6.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| Joe Mack | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.05 | +1.6% | 1 | WIN |
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