MLB · Mon, May 18, 2026
New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Final score: New York Mets 16 – 7 Washington Nationals. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.19 | +22.1% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 10 | 1.97 | +2.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.28 | +36.7% | 6 | WIN |
| Christian Scott | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.14 | +31.8% | 5 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +29.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Drew Millas | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.08 | +29.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +21.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Mark Vientos | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +13.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +5.8% | 2 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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