MLB · Tue, May 19, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Boston Red Sox 7 – 1 Kansas City Royals. 5 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.04 | +4.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Loftin | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.32 | +53.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Lane Thomas | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.24 | +37.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.14 | +28.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Starling Marte | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.29 | +1.8% | 0 | WIN |
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