NBA · Tue, May 19, 2026
San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder
Final score: San Antonio Spurs 122 – 115 Oklahoma City Thunder. 57 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 217.5 | 1.91 | +15.8% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 219.5 | 1.91 | +13.4% | WIN |
| Spread | home | -6.5 | 1.91 | +2.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 12.5 | 1.96 | +93.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Jalen Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.86 | +76.4% | 26 | WIN |
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 13.5 | 1.77 | +75.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | under | 5.5 | 2.14 | +74.8% | 11 | LOSS |
| Jalen Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 15.5 | 1.95 | +70.1% | 26 | WIN |
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 2.5 | 1.81 | +68.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 7.5 | 1.90 | +64.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | under | 6.5 | 1.79 | +62.9% | 11 | LOSS |
| Luguentz Dort | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 5.5 | 1.71 | +61.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.92 | +61.2% | 13 | WIN |
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | under | 3.5 | 1.79 | +59.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 8.5 | 2.04 | +59.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.21 | +58.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| Luguentz Dort | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 7.5 | 1.96 | +58.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 12.5 | 2.01 | +57.0% | 24 | LOSS |
| Luguentz Dort | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.93 | +52.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.10 | +52.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Cason Wallace | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 5.5 | 1.81 | +50.4% | 8 | WIN |
| Luguentz Dort | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.76 | +49.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.87 | +48.5% | 17 | LOSS |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 13.5 | 1.72 | +47.3% | 24 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.69 | +43.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.66 | +40.3% | 9 | LOSS |
| Cason Wallace | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 6.5 | 1.95 | +39.8% | 8 | WIN |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.87 | +39.3% | 13 | WIN |
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.65 | +38.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Chet Holmgren | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.91 | +38.0% | 8 | WIN |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 25.5 | 1.82 | +36.0% | 41 | LOSS |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 24.5 | 1.98 | +34.3% | 41 | LOSS |
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.96 | +34.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 15.5 | 1.86 | +32.8% | 17 | LOSS |
| Luguentz Dort | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +32.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.42 | +31.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Cason Wallace | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.01 | +30.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Chet Holmgren | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 8.5 | 1.92 | +29.1% | 8 | WIN |
| Jalen Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.66 | +28.8% | 7 | WIN |
| Chet Holmgren | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +28.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 2.23 | +24.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Chet Holmgren | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 15.5 | 1.96 | +23.8% | 8 | WIN |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 1.88 | +23.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | under | 6.5 | 2.07 | +21.5% | 12 | LOSS |
| Alex Caruso | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 7.5 | 1.83 | +20.0% | 31 | LOSS |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.70 | +19.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Cason Wallace | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.67 | +19.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.50 | +16.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Alex Caruso | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.62 | +13.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Alex Caruso | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 2.5 | 2.30 | +10.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.70 | +9.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.74 | +9.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| Jalen Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 4.5 | 1.98 | +9.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Alex Caruso | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.64 | +9.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.92 | +8.0% | 11 | WIN |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.83 | +7.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 9.5 | 1.80 | +2.4% | 11 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.