Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Wed, May 20, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Boston Red Sox 4 · 3 Kansas City Royals. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.93 | +19.5% | 8 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +16.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +12.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +10.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +8.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Connelly Early | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.80 | +8.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Maikel Garcia | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +1.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +0.8% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or Boston Red Sox that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees | 32 | 28.1% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.