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MLB · Fri, May 22, 2026
New York Mets at Miami Marlins
Final score: New York Mets 1 · 2 Miami Marlins. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.05 | +3.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +26.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +22.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +21.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.55 | +13.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +6.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +3.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +1.0% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Miami Marlins or New York Mets that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 13 | 61.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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