Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, May 23, 2026
New York Mets at Miami Marlins
Final score: New York Mets 1 · 4 Miami Marlins. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +27.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +20.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +19.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +13.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +6.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.42 | +1.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +1.3% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Miami Marlins or New York Mets that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 13 | 61.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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