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MLB · Sat, May 23, 2026
Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Washington Nationals 2 · 0 Atlanta Braves. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 9 | 1.95 | +10.6% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.58 | +6.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +34.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Irvin | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.62 | +25.0% | 7 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +21.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +20.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +20.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.85 | +12.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +10.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Grant Holmes | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.08 | +9.8% | 10 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +5.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +3.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +0.3% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or Washington Nationals that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 26.7% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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