NBA · Wed, May 27, 2026
San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder
Final score: San Antonio Spurs 114 – 127 Oklahoma City Thunder. 50 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | away | -5.5 | 1.95 | +1.5% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 215.5 | 1.91 | +0.9% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 216.5 | 1.91 | +0.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 5.5 | 2.07 | +95.4% | 7 | WIN |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 14.5 | 1.98 | +89.4% | 9 | LOSS |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 6.5 | 2.03 | +84.8% | 15 | WIN |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | under | 6.5 | 1.95 | +77.5% | 6 | WIN |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.81 | +76.4% | 9 | LOSS |
| Jalen Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 14.5 | 1.90 | +74.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 6.5 | 1.83 | +69.8% | 12 | WIN |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 7.5 | 1.94 | +68.1% | 12 | WIN |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.20 | +59.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 13.5 | 1.85 | +58.4% | 6 | WIN |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 17.5 | 1.84 | +57.9% | 24 | LOSS |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.85 | +56.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| Chet Holmgren | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +55.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Alex Caruso | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 8.5 | 1.95 | +51.6% | 22 | LOSS |
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 2.21 | +51.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jared McCain | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +50.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | under | 7.5 | 2.06 | +49.9% | 9 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 7.5 | 1.94 | +49.7% | 15 | WIN |
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 3.5 | 1.79 | +49.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.75 | +49.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Luguentz Dort | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.86 | +47.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 26.5 | 1.82 | +46.8% | 20 | WIN |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 25.5 | 1.93 | +44.2% | 20 | WIN |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 2.02 | +43.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Luguentz Dort | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +43.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | under | 8.5 | 1.67 | +39.4% | 9 | LOSS |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 0.5 | 1.74 | +36.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.72 | +33.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Jalen Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 2.15 | +31.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jalen Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.66 | +28.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Jalen Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 3.5 | 1.72 | +25.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 2.24 | +24.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jared McCain | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.89 | +23.0% | 20 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.95 | +22.9% | 4 | WIN |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 5.5 | 2.21 | +22.5% | 8 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.24 | +21.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.80 | +21.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.61 | +18.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Chet Holmgren | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.97 | +13.2% | 16 | WIN |
| Alex Caruso | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.60 | +12.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 14.5 | 1.95 | +11.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 29.5 | 1.93 | +11.1% | 32 | WIN |
| Jaylin Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 6.5 | 1.76 | +7.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Cason Wallace | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 8.5 | 1.92 | +6.9% | 7 | WIN |
| Alex Caruso | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.58 | +5.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.84 | +3.5% | 22 | WIN |
| Alex Caruso | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 2.5 | 2.13 | +2.3% | 2 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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