Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, May 28, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Atlanta Braves 10 · 2 Boston Red Sox. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.69 | +2.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 2.03 | +38.2% | 8 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +33.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +10.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +6.0% | 7 | WIN |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.91 | +3.7% | 7 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +2.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.54 | +0.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +0.2% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Atlanta Braves that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 26.7% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees | 32 | 28.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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