MLB · Thu, May 28, 2026
Houston Astros at Texas Rangers
Final score: Houston Astros 4 – 3 Texas Rangers. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.39 | +24.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Vazquez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.25 | +69.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ezequiel Duran | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.55 | +52.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.89 | +44.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Burger | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +34.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.37 | +14.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Jacob deGrom | Texas Rangers | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.85 | +12.2% | 6 | WIN |
| Taylor Trammell | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.89 | +11.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Mike Burrows | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.92 | +11.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Brandon Nimmo | Texas Rangers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.48 | +1.9% | 1 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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