Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, May 28, 2026
Houston Astros at Texas Rangers
Final score: Houston Astros 4 · 3 Texas Rangers. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.39 | +24.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Vazquez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.25 | +69.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ezequiel Duran | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.55 | +52.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.89 | +44.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Burger | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +34.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +29.7% | 9 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.37 | +14.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Jake Burger | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +12.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jacob deGrom | Texas Rangers | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.85 | +12.2% | 6 | WIN |
| Josh Jung | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +12.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Taylor Trammell | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.89 | +11.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Mike Burrows | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.92 | +11.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Brandon Nimmo | Texas Rangers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.48 | +1.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brandon Nimmo | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +1.2% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Texas Rangers or Houston Astros that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros | 21 | 23.8% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 8 | 25.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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