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MLB · Fri, May 29, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Atlanta Braves 8 · 3 Cincinnati Reds. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.67 | +14.8% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 9.5 | 1.93 | +0.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ha-Seong Kim | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +27.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +26.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chris Paddack | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.75 | +19.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.19 | +15.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.92 | +14.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.85 | +14.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +14.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +13.6% | 5 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +12.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Dominic Smith | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.59 | +11.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.60 | +9.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Grant Holmes | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.73 | +3.2% | 5 | WIN |
| Dominic Smith | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +2.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +1.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.23 | +1.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.36 | +0.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +0.0% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Atlanta Braves that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 26.7% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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