MLB · Sat, May 30, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Atlanta Braves 5 – 2 Cincinnati Reds. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.70 | +17.5% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 9.5 | 1.97 | +1.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.26 | +40.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +11.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +4.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Martin Perez | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.61 | +3.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +1.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +0.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Brady Singer | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.60 | +0.6% | 2 | LOSS |
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