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MLB · Sat, May 30, 2026
Miami Marlins at New York Mets
Final score: Miami Marlins 1 · 6 New York Mets. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7 | 1.88 | +7.5% | PUSH |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.13 | +3.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +40.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.45 | +28.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +27.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Phillips | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | under | 3.5 | 1.99 | +23.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.52 | +12.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +3.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.41 | +0.4% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or Miami Marlins that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 13 | 61.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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