MLB · Sun, May 31, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Atlanta Braves 4 – 6 Cincinnati Reds. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.74 | +20.3% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.85 | +5.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.01 | +26.8% | 8 | LOSS |
| Nick Lodolo | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.05 | +20.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +8.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +7.1% | 0 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +4.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +3.3% | 2 | WIN |
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