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MLB · Sun, May 31, 2026
Miami Marlins at New York Mets
Final score: Miami Marlins 1 · 10 New York Mets. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.94 | +4.9% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.38 | +3.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janson Junk | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.94 | +30.1% | n/a | PUSH |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +25.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +21.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +19.6% | 5 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +13.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +10.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +0.5% | 4 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or Miami Marlins that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 13 | 61.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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