NBA · Sun, May 31, 2026
San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder
Final score: San Antonio Spurs 111 – 103 Oklahoma City Thunder. 55 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 211.5 | 1.87 | +7.7% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 212.5 | 1.91 | +7.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 2.5 | 2.38 | +121.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jalen Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 8.5 | 2.00 | +98.0% | 11 | WIN |
| Luguentz Dort | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 5.5 | 2.04 | +92.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | under | 6.5 | 2.11 | +92.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.20 | +85.7% | 4 | WIN |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.86 | +81.3% | 15 | WIN |
| Alex Caruso | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 10.5 | 1.92 | +77.9% | 12 | LOSS |
| Kenrich Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 3.5 | 2.09 | +77.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Luguentz Dort | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 4.5 | 1.78 | +73.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Chet Holmgren | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.54 | +68.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luguentz Dort | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.11 | +67.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 6.5 | 1.81 | +64.8% | 11 | WIN |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 8.5 | 2.10 | +64.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 12.5 | 2.05 | +60.1% | 7 | WIN |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 17.5 | 1.85 | +58.8% | 16 | WIN |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 26.5 | 1.96 | +58.1% | 22 | WIN |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.99 | +58.1% | 16 | WIN |
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 0.5 | 1.98 | +57.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.86 | +57.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| Kenrich Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 0.5 | 2.05 | +54.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.81 | +54.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 7.5 | 1.74 | +50.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | under | 8.5 | 1.73 | +44.4% | 9 | LOSS |
| Kenrich Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 1.5 | 1.73 | +42.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jared McCain | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.96 | +42.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +40.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | under | 7.5 | 1.91 | +38.9% | 9 | LOSS |
| Luguentz Dort | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +38.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 7.5 | 1.76 | +35.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 2.26 | +32.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.96 | +31.8% | 11 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.79 | +29.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.65 | +28.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Alex Caruso | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.79 | +25.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.31 | +25.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.68 | +23.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Cason Wallace | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 9.5 | 1.79 | +22.5% | 17 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 28.5 | 1.85 | +19.5% | 35 | WIN |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.68 | +19.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jaylin Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.71 | +16.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Chet Holmgren | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 8.5 | 1.71 | +15.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.80 | +13.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| Cason Wallace | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 8.5 | 2.01 | +12.0% | 17 | LOSS |
| Alex Caruso | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | under | 2.5 | 1.86 | +11.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jaylin Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 2.11 | +11.5% | 10 | WIN |
| Chet Holmgren | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.93 | +10.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jaylin Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 5.5 | 2.01 | +10.6% | 11 | WIN |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 3.5 | 2.23 | +9.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Cason Wallace | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.88 | +7.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 9.5 | 1.85 | +5.2% | 20 | LOSS |
| Jared McCain | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.94 | +5.0% | 12 | LOSS |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 5.5 | 1.89 | +4.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| Cason Wallace | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | under | 2.5 | 1.85 | +0.7% | 4 | LOSS |
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