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MLB · Mon, Jun 1, 2026
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
Final score: Miami Marlins 7 · 3 Washington Nationals. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.93 | +11.2% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.68 | +8.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Millas | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.34 | +43.5% | n/a | PUSH |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +20.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.28 | +19.4% | 5 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +18.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +14.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +10.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +3.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.08 | +1.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +0.6% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Miami Marlins that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 13 | 61.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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