MLB · Thu, Jun 4, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Kansas City Royals 8 – 6 Minnesota Twins. 4 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.98 | +7.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +13.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +6.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.72 | +2.1% | 4 | LOSS |
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