MLB · Fri, Jun 5, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 6 – 0 Miami Marlins. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.85 | +14.0% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.13 | +7.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.86 | +102.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Owen Caissie | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.30 | +83.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +52.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +46.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.41 | +10.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Drew Rasmussen | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.83 | +9.0% | 9 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +6.4% | 0 | WIN |
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