MLB · Wed, Jun 10, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Boston Red Sox 5 – 7 Tampa Bay Rays. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 2.02 | +4.8% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.29 | +2.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bennett | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.39 | +82.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.55 | +78.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.82 | +42.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Ryan Vilade | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +28.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Austin Slater | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +4.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.30 | +2.8% | 0 | WIN |
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