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MLB · Fri, Jun 12, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5 · 2 Cincinnati Reds. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.85 | +4.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +30.4% | 0 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +26.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Noelvi Marte | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +23.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +15.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.75 | +13.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +11.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +11.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +8.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Ildemaro Vargas | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +2.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +2.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +0.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Spencer Steer | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +0.6% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Arizona Diamondbacksthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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