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MLB · Thu, Sep 24, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 7 · 6 Atlanta Braves. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.91 | +9.0% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.44 | +0.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Jorge | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.29 | +45.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Tyler Mahle | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.18 | +26.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Brady Singer | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.83 | +18.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Mike Yastrzemski | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.11 | +15.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.90 | +9.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.73 | +4.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Tyler Stephenson | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.21 | +2.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.23 | +1.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Matt McLain | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.86 | +0.2% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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