Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Fri, Jun 12, 2026
Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Texas Rangers 1 · 10 Boston Red Sox. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.91 | +8.5% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.74 | +3.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +21.8% | 6 | WIN |
| Josh Jung | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +14.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.68 | +14.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| Jack Leiter | Texas Rangers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.68 | +13.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Corey Seager | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.74 | +4.5% | n/a | PUSH |
| Mickey Gasper | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +4.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brandon Nimmo | Texas Rangers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +2.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +1.0% | 8 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Texas Rangersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.