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MLB · Sat, Jun 13, 2026
Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Houston Astros 10 · 8 Kansas City Royals. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.04 | +9.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.88 | +23.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Mike Burrows | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.22 | +22.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +19.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.87 | +15.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jake Meyers | Houston Astros | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +12.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +8.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.67 | +8.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.67 | +4.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +2.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +1.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Michael Massey | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +0.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +0.3% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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