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MLB · Sun, Jun 14, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5 · 3 Cincinnati Reds. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.91 | +5.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.62 | +24.9% | 4 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +24.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Edwin Arroyo | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +20.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.95 | +13.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +12.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +8.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ildemaro Vargas | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +4.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +3.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +2.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +2.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jordan Lawlar | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +1.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +0.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +0.4% | 5 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Arizona Diamondbacksthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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