Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Jun 14, 2026
Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Texas Rangers 6 · 4 Boston Red Sox. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9 | 1.95 | +13.1% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.89 | +9.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +20.8% | 9 | WIN |
| Michael Helman | Texas Rangers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.94 | +20.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Texas Rangers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.68 | +14.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +13.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Connelly Early | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.05 | +12.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +11.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +11.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Josh Jung | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +7.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Mickey Gasper | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +4.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Jake Burger | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +1.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +1.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +0.1% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Texas Rangersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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