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MLB · Sun, Jun 21, 2026
Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks
Final score: Minnesota Twins 16 · 8 Arizona Diamondbacks. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.76 | +8.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.92 | +34.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +32.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +11.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.85 | +9.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +6.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luke Keaschall | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +0.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +0.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +0.1% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Arizona Diamondbacks or Minnesota Twinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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