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MLB · Thu, Jul 2, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves
Final score: St. Louis Cardinals 11 · 5 Atlanta Braves. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.87 | +2.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ha-Seong Kim | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.12 | +54.8% | n/a | PUSH |
| Hurston Waldrep | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.98 | +51.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +32.5% | 5 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +24.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +13.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dustin May | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.88 | +13.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +13.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +11.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +7.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +6.7% | 2 | WIN |
| JJ Wetherholt | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +3.1% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or St. Louis Cardinalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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