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MLB · Sat, Jul 4, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 2 · 11 Seattle Mariners. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.35 | +4.4% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.09 | +3.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +37.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.02 | +29.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.51 | +22.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.88 | +12.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +10.7% | 7 | WIN |
| Logan Gilbert | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.95 | +9.3% | 7 | WIN |
| Victor Robles | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.26 | +5.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Colt Emerson | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.07 | +3.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shane Bieber | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.68 | +3.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +3.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +2.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +2.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Luke Raley | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.07 | +1.2% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Seattle Mariners or Toronto Blue Jaysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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