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MLB · Sun, Jul 5, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels
Final score: Boston Red Sox 8 · 1 Los Angeles Angels. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.82 | +34.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| Zach Neto | Los Angeles Angels | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +18.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +10.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Tyler Heineman | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.74 | +10.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +4.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Nolan Schanuel | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +3.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +2.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Oswald Peraza | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.84 | +0.3% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Angels or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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