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MLB · Sun, Jul 5, 2026
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
Final score: New York Mets 10 · 14 Atlanta Braves. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.83 | +9.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Wagaman | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.42 | +52.5% | n/a | PUSH |
| Eli White | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.21 | +35.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +31.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +30.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +14.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.74 | +13.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Sean Manaea | New York Mets | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.87 | +12.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +11.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +6.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +5.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +4.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +4.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +1.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Mark Vientos | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +1.1% | 0 | WIN |
| A.J. Ewing | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.74 | +0.2% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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