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MLB · Sat, Jul 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Atlanta Braves 1 · 4 St. Louis Cardinals. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.39 | +5.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli White | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.12 | +30.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.68 | +15.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Reynaldo Lopez | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 3.5 | 1.93 | +13.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +4.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.64 | +3.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +2.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +2.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +2.0% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving St. Louis Cardinals or Atlanta Bravesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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