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MLB · Sat, Jul 11, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Kansas City Royals 1 · 6 Baltimore Orioles. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.61 | +0.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +12.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +10.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +8.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.23 | +8.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +7.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +4.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Taylor Ward | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +1.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.65 | +0.5% | 9 | LOSS |
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +0.1% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Kansas City Royalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 13 | 38.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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