Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Jul 12, 2026
Houston Astros at Texas Rangers
Final score: Houston Astros 5 · 6 Texas Rangers. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.13 | +12.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Duran | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.68 | +61.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yainer Diaz | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.34 | +38.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wyatt Langford | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +32.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jake Burger | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.77 | +29.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.80 | +27.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.94 | +26.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.05 | +24.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.39 | +22.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Jung | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +18.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Wyatt Langford | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.93 | +18.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +2.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Nimmo | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +2.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Brandon Nimmo | Texas Rangers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.46 | +0.3% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Texas Rangers or Houston Astros that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros | 21 | 23.8% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 13 | 76.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 8 | 25.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.