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MLB · Sat, Jul 18, 2026
Texas Rangers at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Texas Rangers 7 · 6 Atlanta Braves. 21 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.85 | +16.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Duran | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.35 | +44.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +34.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.06 | +31.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +29.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +27.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Burger | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +26.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.83 | +18.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +16.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Wyatt Langford | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +16.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.49 | +14.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +14.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.42 | +10.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| MacKenzie Gore | Texas Rangers | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.18 | +9.3% | 7 | WIN |
| Jake Burger | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +7.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Josh Jung | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +6.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Brandon Nimmo | Texas Rangers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +2.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +2.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Nimmo | Texas Rangers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.51 | +2.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +2.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Jorge Mateo | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.25 | +0.6% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or Texas Rangersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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