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MLB · Tue, Jul 21, 2026
Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies
Final score: Washington Nationals 7 · 3 Colorado Rockies. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.83 | +10.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Fulford | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.01 | +37.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +28.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +25.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.97 | +23.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Nasim Nunez | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +20.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +20.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Kyle Freeland | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.17 | +18.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jacob Young | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +16.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +16.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cole Carrigg | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +16.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Jacob Young | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.67 | +12.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +12.3% | 1 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +12.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Karros | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +11.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Andrew Alvarez | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.22 | +8.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Tyler Freeman | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +8.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +8.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Harry Ford | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +8.1% | 0 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.74 | +6.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +4.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Karros | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +3.5% | 1 | WIN |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +3.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +2.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Harry Ford | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +0.3% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Colorado Rockies or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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