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MLB · Wed, Jul 22, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Seattle Mariners
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 5 · 3 Seattle Mariners. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.88 | +4.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +39.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Castillo | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.14 | +39.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.18 | +24.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +21.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +16.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Brady Singer | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.72 | +16.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +10.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +8.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Buddy Kennedy | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.56 | +7.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Emerson Hancock | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.88 | +5.7% | 3 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Seattle Mariners or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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