Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Jul 23, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Kansas City Royals 3 · 4 Detroit Tigers. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.87 | +3.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Dobnak | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.10 | +42.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| James Outman | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +36.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +20.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Zach McKinstry | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +13.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Andrew Velazquez | Kansas City Royals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.08 | +12.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +6.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Colt Keith | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +3.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Kerry Carpenter | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +0.5% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Tigers or Kansas City Royalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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