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MLB · Thu, Jul 23, 2026
Miami Marlins at Houston Astros
Final score: Miami Marlins 2 · 5 Houston Astros. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +41.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +29.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.90 | +26.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +24.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.48 | +21.3% | 6 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.26 | +16.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Peter Lambert | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.06 | +1.4% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Miami Marlinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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