Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Jul 23, 2026
Miami Marlins at Houston Astros
Final score: Miami Marlins 2 · 5 Houston Astros. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +41.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +29.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.90 | +26.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +24.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.48 | +21.3% | 6 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.26 | +16.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Peter Lambert | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.06 | +1.4% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Miami Marlins that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros | 21 | 23.8% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 16 | 56.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 13 | 61.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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