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MLB · Mon, Jul 27, 2026
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
Final score: Atlanta Braves 3 · 14 New York Mets. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.87 | +7.1% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.88 | +3.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +31.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Zach Thornton | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.07 | +28.5% | 5 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +17.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +15.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +15.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +4.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Martin Perez | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.78 | +2.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +1.5% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or Atlanta Bravesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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