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MLB · Mon, Jul 27, 2026
Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Baltimore Orioles 8 · 5 Detroit Tigers. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.91 | +11.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.73 | +61.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +29.1% | n/a | PUSH |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.73 | +27.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +24.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sam Huff | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.83 | +16.2% | n/a | PUSH |
| Keider Montero | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.87 | +15.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +8.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +6.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +3.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Colt Keith | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +3.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +2.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Taylor Ward | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.33 | +0.7% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Tigers or Baltimore Oriolesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 7 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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