Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Tue, Jul 28, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Kansas City Royals 2 · 3 Minnesota Twins. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.97 | +23.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.17 | +12.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +8.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Trevor Larnach | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +8.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Taj Bradley | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.87 | +8.0% | 10 | LOSS |
| Lane Thomas | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +6.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +5.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Trevor Larnach | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.79 | +4.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +2.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +0.4% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Kansas City Royalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 13 | 38.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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