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MLB · Thu, Jul 30, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Kansas City Royals 3 · 4 Minnesota Twins. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.46 | +25.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Martin | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +23.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.73 | +13.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Royce Lewis | Minnesota Twins | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +13.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +12.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Lane Thomas | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +9.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.43 | +9.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Isaac Collins | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +9.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Royce Lewis | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.79 | +8.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.63 | +7.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.38 | +6.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +6.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +6.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.79 | +4.6% | 7 | WIN |
| Luke Keaschall | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +4.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.54 | +4.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Victor Caratini | Minnesota Twins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +3.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Austin Martin | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.32 | +3.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Michael Massey | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +0.5% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Twins or Kansas City Royalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 13 | 38.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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