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MLB · Thu, Jul 30, 2026
Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Washington Nationals 4 · 5 Atlanta Braves. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 9.5 | 1.88 | +1.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +31.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Irvin | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +29.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +26.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +19.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +15.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +9.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.98 | +7.6% | 9 | WIN |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +5.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.92 | +5.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +2.4% | 8 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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