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MLB · Fri, Jul 31, 2026
Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Washington Nationals 2 · 6 Atlanta Braves. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +33.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +28.3% | 6 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +28.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Elder | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.21 | +26.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Eli White | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.04 | +25.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +21.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +19.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +16.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +8.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +7.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Foster Griffin | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.70 | +6.9% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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