Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Aug 1, 2026
Texas Rangers at Houston Astros
Final score: Texas Rangers 4 · 11 Houston Astros. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.09 | +17.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +46.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ezequiel Duran | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.33 | +44.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wyatt Langford | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +31.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +27.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +26.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Wyatt Langford | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +20.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Hunter Brown | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.65 | +12.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Brandon Nimmo | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +10.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ronel Blanco | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.12 | +3.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +3.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Wyatt Langford | Texas Rangers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +2.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Jacob deGrom | Texas Rangers | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.83 | +2.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Corey Seager | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +2.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Yainer Diaz | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +0.4% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Texas Rangers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros | 21 | 23.8% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 13 | 76.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 8 | 25.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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